Reuters reports that Izzat al-Douri, fugitive head of Saddam’s Baath party has called for Sunni insurgents to form "national, political or supreme leadership council to include all armed and unarmed resistance powers". The article claims that the move “suggesting a possible shift away from armed struggle”. Would that that were true.

One facet of Middle Eastern politics that has frequently puzzled western commentators is the lack of division between political oppositions groups and militias. Groups like Hezbollah and Hamas has been able to participate in elections while continuing to employ political violence. Even if the wide variety of Sunni groups still resisting the central government were to follow Douri’s suggestion, and band together to form a political committee, violence would not come to an end.

That’s not to say that political participation cannot serve to moderate such organizations. For instance the Muslim Brotherhood’s involvement in the elections within professional syndicates that serve as unions in Egypt has undeniably softened the group’s position. Even as an opposition bloc in parliament, the ability to gain at least some of the key demands of the insurgents may well serve to lower levels of violence. Furthermore, if this announcement is followed through on, this move may well help to bring Sunni votes to the polls in January, creating a government that has a stronger perception of legitimacy. But lessening violence doesn’t mean that the militia will disband, or that violence will cease, and by creating such unrealistic expectations, we risk missing very real, if smaller, signs of stabilization.

Crossposted at http://attackerman.firedoglake.com/2009/08/01/you-cant-start-it-like-a-car-you-cant-stop-it-with-a-gun/